Articles | Volume 19, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-8163-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-8163-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
27 Jun 2019
Research article |
| 27 Jun 2019
| 27 Jun 2019
Contrail cirrus radiative forcing for future air traffic
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut für
Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany
Ulrike Burkhardt
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut für
Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany
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Cited
60 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Contrail radiative dependence on ice particle number concentration R. De León & D. Lee 10.1088/2752-5295/ace6c6
- Experimental investigation of performance and soot emissions of oxygenated fuel blends in a small aero engine A. Rabl et al. 10.1007/s13272-023-00695-6
- Satellite observations of seasonality and long-term trends in cirrus cloud properties over Europe: investigation of possible aviation impacts Q. Li & S. Groß 10.5194/acp-22-15963-2022
- The global scale, distribution and growth of aviation: Implications for climate change S. Gössling & A. Humpe 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102194
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- Risks, resilience, and pathways to sustainable aviation: A COVID-19 perspective S. Gössling 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.101933
- Hydroprocessing of Fossil Fuel-Based Aviation Kerosene – Technology Options and Climate Impact Mitigation Potentials G. Quante et al. 10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100259
- Monte Carlo Simulations in Aviation Contrail Study: A Review D. Bianco et al. 10.3390/app12125885
- Transition policies for climatically sustainable aviation S. Gössling & C. Lyle 10.1080/01441647.2021.1938284
- COVID-19 and pathways to low-carbon air transport until 2050 S. Gössling et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abe90b
- Box model trajectory studies of contrail formation using a particle-based cloud microphysics scheme A. Bier et al. 10.5194/acp-22-823-2022
- Leveraging demand-capacity balancing to reduce air traffic emissions and improve overall network performance J. Künnen et al. 10.1016/j.tra.2023.103716
- Beyond Contrail Avoidance: Efficacy of Flight Altitude Changes to Minimise Contrail Climate Forcing R. Teoh et al. 10.3390/aerospace7090121
- COVID-19 Disruption Demonstrates Win-Win Climate Solutions for Major League Sports S. Wynes 10.1021/acs.est.1c03422
- Targeted Use of Sustainable Aviation Fuel to Maximize Climate Benefits R. Teoh et al. 10.1021/acs.est.2c05781
- Ice-supersaturated air masses in the northern mid-latitudes from regular in situ observations by passenger aircraft: vertical distribution, seasonality and tropospheric fingerprint A. Petzold et al. 10.5194/acp-20-8157-2020
- The contribution of aviation NOx emissions to climate change: are we ignoring methodological flaws? V. Grewe et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5dd7
- Long-term retrospective analysis of the societal metabolism of cobalt in the European Union M. Godoy León et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.130437
- Sustainable land use and viability of biojet fuels N. Uludere Aragon et al. 10.1038/s41893-022-00990-w
- How to Comply with the Paris Agreement Temperature Goal: Global Carbon Pricing According to Carbon Budgets M. Zapf et al. 10.3390/en12152983
- Satellite Observations of the Impact of Individual Aircraft on Ice Crystal Number in Thin Cirrus Clouds S. Marjani et al. 10.1029/2021GL096173
- Impacts of multi-layer overlap on contrail radiative forcing I. Sanz-Morère et al. 10.5194/acp-21-1649-2021
- Powering aircraft with 100 % sustainable aviation fuel reduces ice crystals in contrails R. Märkl et al. 10.5194/acp-24-3813-2024
- Climate Change Mitigation in the Aviation Sector: A Critical Overview of National and International Initiatives B. Mayer & Z. Ding 10.1017/S204710252200019X
- Mitigating the Climate Forcing of Aircraft Contrails by Small-Scale Diversions and Technology Adoption R. Teoh et al. 10.1021/acs.est.9b05608
- Impact of Parametrizing Microphysical Processes in the Jet and Vortex Phase on Contrail Cirrus Properties and Radiative Forcing A. Bier & U. Burkhardt 10.1029/2022JD036677
- Reduced ice number concentrations in contrails from low-aromatic biofuel blends T. Bräuer et al. 10.5194/acp-21-16817-2021
- Ammonia as an Aircraft Fuel: A Critical Assessment From Airport to Wake M. Otto et al. 10.1115/1.4062626
- Uncertainties in mitigating aviation non-CO2 emissions for climate and air quality using hydrocarbon fuels D. Lee et al. 10.1039/D3EA00091E
- Contrails and Their Dependence on Meteorological Situations I. Kameníková et al. 10.3390/app14083199
- Cleaner burning aviation fuels can reduce contrail cloudiness C. Voigt et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00174-y
- Evaluating the climate impact of aviation emission scenarios towards the Paris agreement including COVID-19 effects V. Grewe et al. 10.1038/s41467-021-24091-y
- An inconsistency in aviation emissions between CMIP5 and CMIP6 and the implications for short-lived species and their radiative forcing R. Thor et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-1459-2023
- Climate benefits of proposed carbon dioxide mitigation strategies for international shipping and aviation C. Ivanovich et al. 10.5194/acp-19-14949-2019
- Mitigation of Non-CO2 Aviation’s Climate Impact by Changing Cruise Altitudes S. Matthes et al. 10.3390/aerospace8020036
- Towards climate-neutral aviation: Assessment of maintenance requirements for airborne hydrogen storage and distribution systems R. Meissner et al. 10.1016/j.ijhydene.2023.04.058
- Are persistent aircraft trails a threat to the environment and health? F. Deruelle 10.1515/reveh-2021-0060
- Process‐Based Simulation of Aerosol‐Cloud Interactions in a One‐Dimensional Cirrus Model B. Kärcher 10.1029/2019JD031847
- Predicting aviation non-volatile particulate matter emissions at cruise via convolutional neural network F. Ge et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158089
- How much can electric aircraft contribute to reaching the Flightpath 2050 CO2 emissions goal? A system dynamics approach for european short haul flights C. Talwar et al. 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2023.102455
- Dynamic modeling of air traffic emissions with a two variable system F. Buendia-Hernandez et al. 10.1080/15568318.2021.1959683
- Influence of Sustainable Aviation Fuels on the Formation of Contrails and Their Properties M. Narciso & J. de Sousa 10.3390/en14175557
- Aircraft Emissions, Their Plume-Scale Effects, and the Spatio-Temporal Sensitivity of the Atmospheric Response: A Review K. Tait et al. 10.3390/aerospace9070355
- On the effects of aviation on carbon-methane cycles and climate change during the period 2015-2100 C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.apr.2020.08.033
- The potential of full-electric aircraft for civil transportation: from the Breguet range equation to operational aspects I. Staack et al. 10.1007/s13272-021-00530-w
- A review of liquid hydrogen aircraft and propulsion technologies S. Tiwari et al. 10.1016/j.ijhydene.2023.12.263
- Hydrogen-powered aircraft: Fundamental concepts, key technologies, and environmental impacts E. Adler & J. Martins 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100922
- Individual Condensation Trails in Aircraft Trajectory Optimization J. Rosenow & H. Fricke 10.3390/su11216082
- The high-resolution Global Aviation emissions Inventory based on ADS-B (GAIA) for 2019–2021 R. Teoh et al. 10.5194/acp-24-725-2024
- Investigating an indirect aviation effect on mid-latitude cirrus clouds – linking lidar-derived optical properties to in situ measurements S. Groß et al. 10.5194/acp-23-8369-2023
- Estimating the Effective Radiative Forcing of Contrail Cirrus M. Bickel et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0467.1
- Testing the hypothesis hydrogen jets may significantly contribute to global warming through jets contrails A. Boretti 10.1016/j.ijhydene.2021.08.173
- Contrail coverage over the United States before and during the COVID-19 pandemic V. Meijer et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac26f0
- The climate impact of COVID-19-induced contrail changes A. Gettelman et al. 10.5194/acp-21-9405-2021
- Significant changes in cloud radiative effects over Southwestern United States during the COVID-19 flight reduction period J. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.168656
- Marginal climate and air quality costs of aviation emissions C. Grobler et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4942
- Contrail formation within cirrus: ICON-LEM simulations of the impact of cirrus cloud properties on contrail formation P. Verma & U. Burkhardt 10.5194/acp-22-8819-2022
- Aviation contrail climate effects in the North Atlantic from 2016 to 2021 R. Teoh et al. 10.5194/acp-22-10919-2022
- Observed and Potential Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Environment S. Cheval et al. 10.3390/ijerph17114140
- Radiative Forcing of Climate: The Historical Evolution of the Radiative Forcing Concept, the Forcing Agents and their Quantification, and Applications V. Ramaswamy et al. 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-19-0001.1
60 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Contrail radiative dependence on ice particle number concentration R. De León & D. Lee 10.1088/2752-5295/ace6c6
- Experimental investigation of performance and soot emissions of oxygenated fuel blends in a small aero engine A. Rabl et al. 10.1007/s13272-023-00695-6
- Satellite observations of seasonality and long-term trends in cirrus cloud properties over Europe: investigation of possible aviation impacts Q. Li & S. Groß 10.5194/acp-22-15963-2022
- The global scale, distribution and growth of aviation: Implications for climate change S. Gössling & A. Humpe 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102194
- Towards Determining the Contrail Cirrus Efficacy M. Ponater et al. 10.3390/aerospace8020042
- Risks, resilience, and pathways to sustainable aviation: A COVID-19 perspective S. Gössling 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.101933
- Hydroprocessing of Fossil Fuel-Based Aviation Kerosene – Technology Options and Climate Impact Mitigation Potentials G. Quante et al. 10.1016/j.aeaoa.2024.100259
- Monte Carlo Simulations in Aviation Contrail Study: A Review D. Bianco et al. 10.3390/app12125885
- Transition policies for climatically sustainable aviation S. Gössling & C. Lyle 10.1080/01441647.2021.1938284
- COVID-19 and pathways to low-carbon air transport until 2050 S. Gössling et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abe90b
- Box model trajectory studies of contrail formation using a particle-based cloud microphysics scheme A. Bier et al. 10.5194/acp-22-823-2022
- Leveraging demand-capacity balancing to reduce air traffic emissions and improve overall network performance J. Künnen et al. 10.1016/j.tra.2023.103716
- Beyond Contrail Avoidance: Efficacy of Flight Altitude Changes to Minimise Contrail Climate Forcing R. Teoh et al. 10.3390/aerospace7090121
- COVID-19 Disruption Demonstrates Win-Win Climate Solutions for Major League Sports S. Wynes 10.1021/acs.est.1c03422
- Targeted Use of Sustainable Aviation Fuel to Maximize Climate Benefits R. Teoh et al. 10.1021/acs.est.2c05781
- Ice-supersaturated air masses in the northern mid-latitudes from regular in situ observations by passenger aircraft: vertical distribution, seasonality and tropospheric fingerprint A. Petzold et al. 10.5194/acp-20-8157-2020
- The contribution of aviation NOx emissions to climate change: are we ignoring methodological flaws? V. Grewe et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5dd7
- Long-term retrospective analysis of the societal metabolism of cobalt in the European Union M. Godoy León et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.130437
- Sustainable land use and viability of biojet fuels N. Uludere Aragon et al. 10.1038/s41893-022-00990-w
- How to Comply with the Paris Agreement Temperature Goal: Global Carbon Pricing According to Carbon Budgets M. Zapf et al. 10.3390/en12152983
- Satellite Observations of the Impact of Individual Aircraft on Ice Crystal Number in Thin Cirrus Clouds S. Marjani et al. 10.1029/2021GL096173
- Impacts of multi-layer overlap on contrail radiative forcing I. Sanz-Morère et al. 10.5194/acp-21-1649-2021
- Powering aircraft with 100 % sustainable aviation fuel reduces ice crystals in contrails R. Märkl et al. 10.5194/acp-24-3813-2024
- Climate Change Mitigation in the Aviation Sector: A Critical Overview of National and International Initiatives B. Mayer & Z. Ding 10.1017/S204710252200019X
- Mitigating the Climate Forcing of Aircraft Contrails by Small-Scale Diversions and Technology Adoption R. Teoh et al. 10.1021/acs.est.9b05608
- Impact of Parametrizing Microphysical Processes in the Jet and Vortex Phase on Contrail Cirrus Properties and Radiative Forcing A. Bier & U. Burkhardt 10.1029/2022JD036677
- Reduced ice number concentrations in contrails from low-aromatic biofuel blends T. Bräuer et al. 10.5194/acp-21-16817-2021
- Ammonia as an Aircraft Fuel: A Critical Assessment From Airport to Wake M. Otto et al. 10.1115/1.4062626
- Uncertainties in mitigating aviation non-CO2 emissions for climate and air quality using hydrocarbon fuels D. Lee et al. 10.1039/D3EA00091E
- Contrails and Their Dependence on Meteorological Situations I. Kameníková et al. 10.3390/app14083199
- Cleaner burning aviation fuels can reduce contrail cloudiness C. Voigt et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00174-y
- Evaluating the climate impact of aviation emission scenarios towards the Paris agreement including COVID-19 effects V. Grewe et al. 10.1038/s41467-021-24091-y
- An inconsistency in aviation emissions between CMIP5 and CMIP6 and the implications for short-lived species and their radiative forcing R. Thor et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-1459-2023
- Climate benefits of proposed carbon dioxide mitigation strategies for international shipping and aviation C. Ivanovich et al. 10.5194/acp-19-14949-2019
- Mitigation of Non-CO2 Aviation’s Climate Impact by Changing Cruise Altitudes S. Matthes et al. 10.3390/aerospace8020036
- Towards climate-neutral aviation: Assessment of maintenance requirements for airborne hydrogen storage and distribution systems R. Meissner et al. 10.1016/j.ijhydene.2023.04.058
- Are persistent aircraft trails a threat to the environment and health? F. Deruelle 10.1515/reveh-2021-0060
- Process‐Based Simulation of Aerosol‐Cloud Interactions in a One‐Dimensional Cirrus Model B. Kärcher 10.1029/2019JD031847
- Predicting aviation non-volatile particulate matter emissions at cruise via convolutional neural network F. Ge et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158089
- How much can electric aircraft contribute to reaching the Flightpath 2050 CO2 emissions goal? A system dynamics approach for european short haul flights C. Talwar et al. 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2023.102455
- Dynamic modeling of air traffic emissions with a two variable system F. Buendia-Hernandez et al. 10.1080/15568318.2021.1959683
- Influence of Sustainable Aviation Fuels on the Formation of Contrails and Their Properties M. Narciso & J. de Sousa 10.3390/en14175557
- Aircraft Emissions, Their Plume-Scale Effects, and the Spatio-Temporal Sensitivity of the Atmospheric Response: A Review K. Tait et al. 10.3390/aerospace9070355
- On the effects of aviation on carbon-methane cycles and climate change during the period 2015-2100 C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.apr.2020.08.033
- The potential of full-electric aircraft for civil transportation: from the Breguet range equation to operational aspects I. Staack et al. 10.1007/s13272-021-00530-w
- A review of liquid hydrogen aircraft and propulsion technologies S. Tiwari et al. 10.1016/j.ijhydene.2023.12.263
- Hydrogen-powered aircraft: Fundamental concepts, key technologies, and environmental impacts E. Adler & J. Martins 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100922
- Individual Condensation Trails in Aircraft Trajectory Optimization J. Rosenow & H. Fricke 10.3390/su11216082
- The high-resolution Global Aviation emissions Inventory based on ADS-B (GAIA) for 2019–2021 R. Teoh et al. 10.5194/acp-24-725-2024
- Investigating an indirect aviation effect on mid-latitude cirrus clouds – linking lidar-derived optical properties to in situ measurements S. Groß et al. 10.5194/acp-23-8369-2023
- Estimating the Effective Radiative Forcing of Contrail Cirrus M. Bickel et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0467.1
- Testing the hypothesis hydrogen jets may significantly contribute to global warming through jets contrails A. Boretti 10.1016/j.ijhydene.2021.08.173
- Contrail coverage over the United States before and during the COVID-19 pandemic V. Meijer et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac26f0
- The climate impact of COVID-19-induced contrail changes A. Gettelman et al. 10.5194/acp-21-9405-2021
- Significant changes in cloud radiative effects over Southwestern United States during the COVID-19 flight reduction period J. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.168656
- Marginal climate and air quality costs of aviation emissions C. Grobler et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4942
- Contrail formation within cirrus: ICON-LEM simulations of the impact of cirrus cloud properties on contrail formation P. Verma & U. Burkhardt 10.5194/acp-22-8819-2022
- Aviation contrail climate effects in the North Atlantic from 2016 to 2021 R. Teoh et al. 10.5194/acp-22-10919-2022
- Observed and Potential Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Environment S. Cheval et al. 10.3390/ijerph17114140
- Radiative Forcing of Climate: The Historical Evolution of the Radiative Forcing Concept, the Forcing Agents and their Quantification, and Applications V. Ramaswamy et al. 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-19-0001.1
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 26 Apr 2024
Short summary
The climate impact of air traffic is to a large degree caused by changes in cirrus cloudiness resulting from the formation of contrails. We use an atmospheric climate model with a contrail cirrus parameterization to investigate the climate impact of contrail cirrus for the year 2050. The strong increase in contrail cirrus radiative forcing due to the projected increase in air traffic volume cannot be compensated for by the reduction of soot emissions and by improvements in propulsion efficiency.
The climate impact of air traffic is to a large degree caused by changes in cirrus cloudiness...
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