Wildfire air pollution hazard during the 21st century

Knorr, Wolfgang; Dentener, Frank; Lamarque, Jean-François; Jiang, Leiwen; Arneth, Almut

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-9223-2017

Articles | Volume 17, issue 14

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-9223-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-9223-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 17, issue 14

Research article

|

31 Jul 2017

Research article |

| 31 Jul 2017

Wildfire air pollution hazard during the 21st century

Wolfgang Knorr, Frank Dentener, Jean-François Lamarque, Leiwen Jiang, and Almut Arneth

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-9223-2017-supplement

Data sets

RCP CO2 concentrations M. Meinshausen, S. J. Smith, K. V. Calvin, J. S. Daniel, M. L. T. Kainuma, J.-F. Lamarque, K. Matsumoto, S. A. Montzka, S. C. B. Raper, K. Riahi, A. M. Thomson, G. J. M. Velders and D. van Vuuren http://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/RcpDb/dsd?Action=htmlpage&page=download

HYDE 3.1 population density K. Klein Goldewijk, A. Beusen, and P. Janssen http://themasites.pbl.nl/tridion/en/themasites/hyde/download/index-2.html

SSP urbanisation scenarios by country L. Jiang and B. C. O'Neill https://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/SspDb/dsd?Action=htmlpage&page=countries

SSP population scenarios by country S. KC and W. Lutz https://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/SspDb/dsd?Action=htmlpage&page=countries

GFED 4.1s fire emissions G. van der Werf and The Fire Department http://www.falw.vu/~gwerf/GFED/GFED4/

ECLIPSE GAINS 4a global anthropogenic emissions Z. Klimont, L. Höglund-Isaksson, Ch. Heyes, P. Rafaj, W. Schöpp, J. Cofala, J. Borken-Kleefeld, P. Purohit, K. Kupiainen, W. Winiwarter, M. Amann, B. Zhao, S. X. Wang, I. Bertok, and R. Sander http://eccad.sedoo.fr/eccad_extract_interface/JSF/page_login.jsf

Short summary

Wildfires cause considerable air pollution, and climate change is usually expected to increase both wildfire activity and air pollution from those fires. This study takes a closer look at the problem by examining the role of demographic changes in addition to climate change. It finds that demographics will be the main driver of changes in wildfire activity in many parts of the developing world. Air pollution from wildfires will remain significant, with major implications for air quality policy.