The effect of future ambient air pollution on human premature mortality to
2100 using output from the ACCMIP model ensemble

Silva, Raquel A.; West, J. Jason; Lamarque, Jean-François; Shindell, Drew T.; Collins, William J.; Dalsoren, Stig; Faluvegi, Greg; Folberth, Gerd; Horowitz, Larry W.; Nagashima, Tatsuya; Naik, Vaishali; Rumbold, Steven T.; Sudo, Kengo; Takemura, Toshihiko; Bergmann, Daniel; Cameron-Smith, Philip; Cionni, Irene; Doherty, Ruth M.; Eyring, Veronika; Josse, Beatrice; MacKenzie, Ian A.; Plummer, David; Righi, Mattia; Stevenson, David S.; Strode, Sarah; Szopa, Sophie; Zengast, Guang

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-9847-2016

Articles | Volume 16, issue 15

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-9847-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-9847-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 16, issue 15

Research article

|

05 Aug 2016

Research article |

| 05 Aug 2016

The effect of future ambient air pollution on human premature mortality to 2100 using output from the ACCMIP model ensemble

Raquel A. Silva, J. Jason West, Jean-François Lamarque, Drew T. Shindell, William J. Collins, Stig Dalsoren, Greg Faluvegi, Gerd Folberth, Larry W. Horowitz, Tatsuya Nagashima, Vaishali Naik, Steven T. Rumbold, Kengo Sudo, Toshihiko Takemura, Daniel Bergmann, Philip Cameron-Smith, Irene Cionni, Ruth M. Doherty, Veronika Eyring, Beatrice Josse, Ian A. MacKenzie, David Plummer, Mattia Righi, David S. Stevenson, Sarah Strode, Sophie Szopa, and Guang Zengast

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Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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RC1: 'Referee comments', Anonymous Referee #3, 03 Mar 2016
RC2: 'Referee Comment', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Mar 2016
RC3: 'The effect of future ambient air pollution on human premature mortality to 2100 using output from the ACCMIP model ensemble', Anonymous Referee #2, 18 Mar 2016
AC1: 'Response to All 3 Reviewer Comments', Jason West, 26 May 2016

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Jason West on behalf of the Authors (26 May 2016) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (02 Jun 2016) by Chul Han Song

RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (28 Jun 2016)

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (05 Jul 2016)

ED: Publish as is (07 Jul 2016) by Chul Han Song

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Short summary

Using ozone and PM_2.5 concentrations from the ACCMIP ensemble of chemistry-climate models for the four Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCPs), together with projections of future population and baseline mortality rates, we quantify the human premature mortality impacts of future ambient air pollution in 2030, 2050 and 2100, relative to 2000 concentrations. We also estimate the global mortality burden of ozone and PM_2.5 in 2000 and each future period.