Air quality impacts of European wildfire emissions in a changing climate

Knorr, Wolfgang; Dentener, Frank; Hantson, Stijn; Jiang, Leiwen; Klimont, Zbigniew; Arneth, Almut

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-5685-2016

Articles | Volume 16, issue 9

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-5685-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-5685-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 16, issue 9

Research article

|

10 May 2016

Research article |

| 10 May 2016

Air quality impacts of European wildfire emissions in a changing climate

Wolfgang Knorr, Frank Dentener, Stijn Hantson, Leiwen Jiang, Zbigniew Klimont, and Almut Arneth

Data sets

CRU TS 3.21 climate obsevations Harris, I., Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J., and Lister, D. H. http://browse.ceda.ac.uk/browse/badc/cru/data/cru_ts/cru_ts_3.21

RCP CO2 concentrations Meinshausen, M., S. J. Smith, K. V. Calvin, J. S. Daniel, M. L. T. Kainuma, J.-F. Lamarque, K. Matsumoto, S. A. Montzka, S. C. B. Raper, K. Riahi, A. M. Thomson, G. J. M. Velders and D. van Vuuren http://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/RcpDb/dsd?Action=htmlpage&page=download

HYDE 3.1 population density Klein Goldewijk, K., Beusen, A., and Janssen, P. http://themasites.pbl.nl/tridion/en/themasites/hyde/download/index-2.html

SSP urbanisation scenarios by country Jiang, L. and O'Neill, B. C. https://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/SspDb/dsd?Action=htmlpage&page=countries

SSP population scenarios by country KC, S. and Lutz, W. https://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/SspDb/dsd?Action=htmlpage&page=countries

GFED 4.1s fire emissions van der Werf, G. and The Fire Department http://www.falw.vu/~gwerf/GFED/GFED4/

ECLIPSE GAINS 4a global anthropogenic emissions Klimont, Z., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Heyes, Ch., Rafaj, P., Schöpp, W., Cofala, J., Borken-Kleefeld, J., Purohit, P., Kupiainen, K., Winiwarter, W., Amann, M, Zhao, B., Wang, S.X., Bertok, I., and Sander, R. http://eccad.sedoo.fr/eccad_extract_interface/JSF/page_login.jsf

PEGASOS PBL global anthropogenic emissions Braspenning-Radu, O., van der Berg, M., Deetman, S., Klimont, Z., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Muntean, M., Dentener, F. J., and van Vuuren, D. http://eccad.sedoo.fr/eccad_extract_interface/JSF/page_login.jsf

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Short summary

Wildfires are generally expected to increase in frequency and severity due to climate change. For Europe this could mean increased air pollution levels during the summer. Until 2050, predicted changes are moderate, but under a scenario of strong climate change, these may increase considerably during the later part of the current century. In Portugal and several parts of the Mediterranean, emissions may become relevant for meeting WHO concentration targets.