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Volume 15, issue 5
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 2805–2823, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-2805-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 2805–2823, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-2805-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 10 Mar 2015

Research article | 10 Mar 2015

How emissions, climate, and land use change will impact mid-century air quality over the United States: a focus on effects at national parks

M. Val Martin et al.

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Albani, S., Mahowald, N. M., Perry, A. T., Scanza, R. A., Zender, C. S., Heavens, N. G., Maggi, V., Kok, J. F., and Otto-Bliesner, B. L.: Improved dust representation in the Community Atmosphere Model, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 06, 541–570, https://doi.org/10.1002/2013MS000279, 2014.
Arbaugh, M. J., Miller, P. R., Carroll, J. J., Takemoto, B., and Procter, T.: Relationships of ozone exposure to pine injury in the Sierra Nevada and San Bernardino Mountains of California, USA, Environ. Pollut., 101, 291–301, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0269-7491(98)00027-X, 1998.
Avnery, S., Mauzerall, D. L., Liu, J., and Horowitz, L. W.: Global crop yield reductions due to surface ozone exposure: 1. Year 2000 crop production losses and economic damage, Atmos. Environ., 45, 2284–2296, 2011.
Doherty, R. M., Wild, O., Shindell, D. T., Zeng, G., MacKenzie, I. A., Collins, W. J., Fiore, A. M., Stevenson, D. S., Dentener, F. J., Schultz, M. G., Hess, P., Derwent, R. G., and Keating, T. J.: Impacts of climate change on surface ozone and intercontinental ozone pollution: A multi-model study, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, 3744–3763, https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50266, 2013.
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We present for the first time the relative effect of climate, emissions, and land use change on ozone and PM25 over the United States, focusing on the national parks. Air quality in 2050 will likely be dominated by emission patterns, but climate and land use changes alone can lead to a substantial increase in air pollution over most of the US, with important implications for O3 air quality, visibility and ecosystem health degradation in the national parks.
We present for the first time the relative effect of climate, emissions, and land use change on...
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