<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ACP</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ACP</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1680-7324</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus GmbH</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/acp-9-8719-2009</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Explicit calculation of indirect global warming potentials for halons using atmospheric models</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Youn</surname>
<given-names>D.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Patten</surname>
<given-names>K. O.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lin</surname>
<given-names>J.-T.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wuebbles</surname>
<given-names>D. J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 105 S. Gregory St., Urbana, IL 61801, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth &amp; Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, 599 Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul 151-747, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, 19 Oxford St., Cambridge, MA 02138, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>16</day>
<month>11</month>
<year>2009</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<issue>22</issue>
<fpage>8719</fpage>
<lpage>8733</lpage>
<permissions>
<license xlink:type="simple">
<license-p>This is an open-access article ditributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/8719/2009/acp-9-8719-2009.html">This article is available from http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/8719/2009/acp-9-8719-2009.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/8719/2009/acp-9-8719-2009.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/8719/2009/acp-9-8719-2009.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The concept of Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) has been extensively used in
policy consideration as a relative index for comparing the climate impact of
an emitted greenhouse gas (GHG), relative to carbon dioxide with equal mass
emissions. Ozone depletion due to emission of chlorinated or brominated
halocarbons leads to cooling of the climate system in the opposite direction
to the direct warming contribution by halocarbons as GHGs. This cooling is a
key indirect effect of the halocarbons on climatic radiative forcing, which
is accounted for by indirect GWPs. With respect to climate, it is critical
to understand net influences considering direct warming and indirect cooling
effects especially for Halons due to the greater ozone-depleting efficiency
of bromine over chlorine. Until now, the indirect GWPs have been calculated
using a parameterized approach based on the concept of Equivalent Effective
Stratospheric Chlorine (EESC) and the observed ozone depletion over the last
few decades. As a step towards obtaining indirect GWPs through a more robust
approach, we use atmospheric models to explicitly calculate the indirect
GWPs of Halon-1211 and Halon-1301 for a 100-year time horizon.
State-of-the-art global chemistry-transport models (CTMs) were used as the
computational tools to derive more realistic ozone depletion changes caused
by an added pulse emission of the two major Halons at the surface. The
radiative forcings on climate from the ozone changes have been calculated
for indirect GWPs using an atmospheric radiative transfer model (RTM). The
simulated temporal variations of global average total column Halons after a
pulse perturbation follow an exponential decay with an e-folding time which
is consistent with the expected chemical lifetimes of the Halons. Our
calculated indirect GWPs for the two Halons are much smaller than those from
past studies but are within a single standard deviation of WMO (2007) values
and the direct GWP values derived agree with the published values. Our
model-based assessment of the Halon indirect GWPs thus confirms the
significant importance of indirect effects on climate.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="15"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
<ref-list>
<title>References</title>
<ref id="ref1">
<label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Briegleb, B. P.: Delta-Eddington Approximation for Solar Radiation in the NCAR Community Climate Model, J. Geophys. Res., 97, 7603–7612, 1992a. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref2">
<label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Briegleb, B. P.: Longwave Band Model for Thermal Radiation in Climate Studies, J. Geophys. Res., 97, 11 475–11 485, 1992b. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref3">
<label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Considine, D. B., Douglass, A. R., Connell, P. S., Kinnison, D. E., and Rotman, D. A.: A polar stratospheric cloud parameterization for the global modeling initiative three-dimensional model and its response to stratospheric aircraft, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 3955–3973, 10.1029/1999JD900932, 2000. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref4">
<label>4</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Coy, L. and Swinbank, R.: Characteristics of stratospheric winds and temperatures produced by data assimilation, J. Geophys. Res, 102, 25763–25781, 1997. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref5">
<label>5</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Daniel, J. S., Solomon, S., and Albritton, D. L.: On the Evaluation of Halocarbon Radiative Forcing and Global Warming Potentials, J. Geophys. Res., 100, 1271–1285, 1995. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref6">
<label>6</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Daniel, J. S, Velders, G. J. M., Douglass, A. R., Forster, P. M. D., Hauglustaine, D. A., Isaksen, I. S. A., Kuijpers, L. J. M., McCulloch, A., and Wallington, T. J.: Halocarbon Scenarios, Ozone Depletion Potentials, and Global Warming Potentials, Chapter 8 in Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2006, Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project – Report No. 50, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 572 pp., 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref7">
<label>7</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> DeMore, W. B., Sander, S. P., Golden, D. M., Hampson, R. F., Kurylo, M. J., Howard, C. J., Ravishankara, A. R., Kolb, C. E., and Molina, M. J.: Chemical Kinetics and Photochemical Data for Use in Stratospheric Modeling, Evaluation Number 12, Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) Publication 97-4, Pasadena, California, 1997. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref8">
<label>8</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Forster, P., Ramaswamy, V., Artaxo, P., Berntsen, T., Betts, R., Fahey, D. W., Haywood, J., Lean, J., Lowe, D. C., Myhre, G., Nganga, J., Prinn, R., Raga, G., Schulz, M., and Van Dorland, R.: Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing, in: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor M., and Miller H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref9">
<label>9</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Garcia, R. R., Marsh, D. R., Kinnison, D. E., Boville, B. A., and Sassi, F.: Simulation of secular trends in the middle atmosphere, 1950–2003, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D09301, doi:10.1029/2006JD007485, 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref10">
<label>10</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Guillas, S., Stein M. L., Wuebbles, D. J., and Xia, J.: Using chemistry-transport modeling in statistical analysis of stratospheric ozone trends from observations, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D22303, 10.1029/2004JD005049, 2004. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref11">
<label>11</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Hansen, J., Sato, M., and Ruedy, R.: Radiative forcing and climate response, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 6831–6864, 1997. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref12">
<label>12</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Horowitz, L., Walters, S., Mauzerall, D., Emmons, L., Rasch, P., Granier, C., Tie, X., Lamarque, J.-F., Schultz, M., Tyndall, G., Orlando, J., and Brasseur, G.: A global simulation of tropospheric ozone and related tracers: Description and evaluation of MOZART, version 2. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4784, doi:10.1029/2002JD002853, 2003. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref13">
<label>13</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): Climate Change, The IPCC Scientific Assessment, edited by: Houghton, J. T., Jenkins, G. J., Ephraums, J. J., (Chapter 2, Radiative Forcing on Climate, Shine, K. P., Derwent, R. G., Wuebbles, D. J., and Morcrette, J.-J.), Cambridge University Press, New York, 1990. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref14">
<label>14</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Houghton, J. T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., and Xiaosu, D., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, 881 pp., 2001. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref15">
<label>15</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and Technology and Economic Assessment Panel (IPCC/TEAP): IPCC/TEAP Special Report on Safeguarding the Ozone Layer and the Global Climate System: Issues Related to Hydrofluorocarbons and Perfluorocarbons, edited by: Metz, B., Kuijpers, L., Solomon, S., Andersen, S. O., Davidson, O., Pons, J., de Jager, D., Kestin, T., Manning, M., and Meyer, L. A., Cambridge University Press, New York, 478 pp., 2005. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref16">
<label>16</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K.B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H.L., Cambridge University Press, New York, 996 pp., 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref17">
<label>17</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Jain, A. K., Briegleb, B. P., Minschwaner, K., and Wuebbles, D. J.: Radiative forcings and global warming potentials of 39 greenhouse gases, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 20 773–20 790, 2000. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref18">
<label>18</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Joshi, M., Shine, K., Ponater, M., Stuber, N., Sausen, R., and Li, L.: A comparison of climate response to different radiative forcings in three general circulation models: towards an improved metric of climate change, Clim. Dynam., 20, 843–854, 2003. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref19">
<label>19</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Kinnison, D. E., Brasseur, G. P., Walters, S., Garcia, R. R., Marsh, D. R., Sassi, F., Harvey, V. L., Randall, C. E., Emmons, L., Lamarque, J. F., Hess, P., Orlando, J. J., Tie, X. X., Randel, W., Pan, L. L., Gettelman, A., Granier, C., Diehl, T., Niemeier, U., and Simmons, A. J.: Sensitivity of chemical tracers to meteorological parameters in the MOZART-3 Chemical Transport Model, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D20302, doi:10.1029/2006JD007879, 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref20">
<label>20</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Kotamarthi, V. R., Wuebbles, D. J., and Reck, R. A.: Effects of non-methane hydrocarbons on lower stratospheric and upper tropospheric 2-D zonal average model chemical climatology, J. Geophys, Res., 104, 21 537–21 547, 1999. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref21">
<label>21</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Lacis, A. A., Wuebbles, D. J., and Logan, J. A.: Radiative Forcing of Climate by Changes in the Vertical Distribution of Ozone, J. Geophys. Res., 95, 9971–9981, 1990. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref22">
<label>22</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Li, Y., Patten, K. O., Youn, D., and Wuebbles, D. J.: Potential impacts of CF&lt;sub&gt;3&lt;/sub&gt;I on ozone as a replacement for CF&lt;sub&gt;3&lt;/sub&gt;Br in aircraft applications, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 6, 4559–4568, 2006. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref23">
<label>23</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Miller, A. J., Nagatani, R. M., Flynn, L. E., Kondragunta, S., Beach, E., Stolarski, R., McPeters, R. D., Bhartia, P. K., De-Land, M. T., Jackman, C. H., Wuebbles, D. J., Patten, K. O., and Cebula, R. P.: A cohesive total ozone data set from the SBUV(/2) satellite system, J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4701, doi:10.1029/2001JD000853, 2002. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref24">
<label>24</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Naik, V., Jain, A. K., Patten, K. O., and Wuebbles, D. J.: Consistent sets of atmospheric lifetimes and radiative forcings on climate for CFC replacements: HCFCs and HFCs, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 6903–6914, 2000. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref25">
<label>25</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Newman, P. A., Daniel, J. S., Waugh, D. W., and Nash, E. R.: A new formulation of equivalent effective stratospheric chlorine (EESC), Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7, 4537–4552, 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref26">
<label>26</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Newman, P. A., Nash, E. R., Kawa, S. R., Montzka, S. A., and Schauffler, S. M.; When will the Antarctic ozone hole recover?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L12814, doi:10.1029/2005GL025232, 2006. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref27">
<label>27</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Pan, L. L., Wei, J. C., Kinnison, D. E., Garcia, R.R., Wuebbles, D. J., and Brasseur, G. P.: A set of diagnostics for evaluating chemistry-climate models in the extratropical tropopause region, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D09316, doi:10.1029/2006JD007792, 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref28">
<label>28</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Pfister, G. G., Emmons, L. K., Hess, P. G., Lamarque, J.-F., Orlando, J. J., Walters, S., Guenther, A., Palmer, P. I., and Lawrence, P. J.: Contribution of isoprene to chemical budgets: A model tracer study with the NCAR CTM MOZART-4, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D05308, doi:10.1029/2007JD008948, 2008. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref29">
<label>29</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Ramaswamy, V., Schwarzkopf, M. D., and Shine, K. P.: Radiative forcing of climate from halocarbon induced global stratospheric ozone loss, Nature, 355, 810–812, 1992. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref30">
<label>30</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Rothman, L. S., Jacquemart, D., Barbe, A., Chris Benner, D., Birk, M., Brown, L. R., Carleer, M. R., Chackerian Jr., C., Chance, K., Coudert, L. H., Dana, V., Devi, V. M., Flaud, J.-M., Gamache, R. R., Goldman, A., Hartmann, J.-M., Jucks, K. W., Maki, A. G., Mandin, J.-Y., Massie, S. T., Orphal, J., Perrin, A., Rinsland, C. P., Smith, M. A. H., Tennyson, J., Tolchenov, R. N., Toth, R. A., Vander Auwera, J., Varanasi, P., and Wagner, G.: The HITRAN 2004 molecular spectroscopic database, J. Quant. Spectrosc. Ra., 96, 139-204, ISSN 0022-4073, doi:10.1016/j.jqsrt.2004.10.008, 2005. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref31">
<label>31</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Sander, S. P., Friedl, R. R., Golden, D. M., Kurylo, M. J., Huie, R. E., Orkin, V. L., Moortgat, G. K., Ravishankara, A. R., Kolb, C. E., Molina, M. J., and Finlayson-Pitts, B. J.: Chemical kinetics and photochemical data for use in atmospheric studies, NASA/JPL Publication 02-25. Pasadena, California, 334 pp., 2003. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref32">
<label>32</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Sassi, F., Garcia, R. R., Boville, B. A., and Liu, H.: On temperature inversions and the mesospheric surf zone, J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4380, doi:10.1029/2001JD001525, 2002. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref33">
<label>33</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Stamnes, K., Tsay, S.-C., Wiscombe, W., and Jayaweera, K.: Numerically stable algorithm for discrete-ordinate-method radiative transfer in multiple scattering and emitting layered media, Appl. Optimizat., 27, 2502–2509, 1988. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref34">
<label>34</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Velders, G. J. M., Anderson S. O., Daniel J. S., Fahey D. W., and McFarland, M.: The importance of the Montreal Protocol in protecting climate, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 104, 4814–4819, 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref35">
<label>35</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> World Meteorological Organization (WMO): Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 1994, Global Ozone, Research and Monitoring Project – Report 37, Geneva, Switzerland, 1995. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref36">
<label>36</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> World Meteorological Organization (WMO): Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 1998, Global Ozone, Research and Monitoring Project – Report 44, Geneva, Switzerland, 1999. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref37">
<label>37</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> World Meteorological Organization (WMO): Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2002, Global Ozone, Research and Monitoring Project – Report 47, Geneva, Switzerland, 2003. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref38">
<label>38</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> World Meteorological Organization (WMO): Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2006, Global Ozone, Research and Monitoring Project – Report 50, Geneva, Switzerland, 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref39">
<label>39</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Wuebbles, D. J.: Weighing functions for ozone depletion and greenhouse gas effects on climate, Annu. Rev. Energ. Env., 20, 45–70, 1995. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref40">
<label>40</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Wuebbles, D. J., Patten, K. O., Johnson, M. T., and Kotamarthi, R.: The new methodology for Ozone Depletion Potentials of short-lived compounds: n-propyl bromide as an example, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 14 551–14 571, 2001. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref41">
<label>41</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Wuebbles, D. J. and Patten, K. O.: Three-Dimensional Modeling of HCFC-123 in the Atmosphere: Assessing Its Potential Environmental Impacts and Rationale for Continued Use, Environ. Sci. Technol., 43, 3208–3213, 2009. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref42">
<label>42</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Youn, D., Choi, W., Lee, H., and Wuebbles, D. J.: Interhemispheric differences in changes of long-lived tracers in the middle stratosphere over the last decade, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L03807, doi:10.1029/2005GL024274, 2006. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>