<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8" standalone="no"?>
<!DOCTYPE article SYSTEM "http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/inc/acp/copernicus.dtd">
<article language="en">
	<journal>
		<journal_title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal_title>
		<journal_url>www.atmos-chem-phys.net</journal_url>
		<issn>1680-7316</issn>
		<eissn>1680-7324</eissn>
		<volume_number>8</volume_number>
		<issue_number>18</issue_number>
		<publication_year>2008</publication_year>
	</journal>
	<doi>10.5194/acp-8-5603-2008</doi>
	<article_url>http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/8/5603/2008/</article_url>
	<abstract_html>http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/8/5603/2008/acp-8-5603-2008.html</abstract_html>
	<fulltext_pdf>http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/8/5603/2008/acp-8-5603-2008.pdf</fulltext_pdf>
	<start_page>5603</start_page>
	<end_page>5614</end_page>
	<publication_date>2008-09-19</publication_date>
	<article_title content_type="html">A method for evaluating spatially-resolved NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt; emissions using Kalman filter inversion, direct sensitivities, and space-based NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; observations</article_title>
	<authors>
		<author numeration="1" affiliations="1">
			<name>S. L. Napelenok</name>
			<email>napelenok.sergey@epa.gov</email>
		</author>
		<author numeration="2" affiliations="1">
			<name>R. W. Pinder</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="3" affiliations="1">
			<name>A. B. Gilliland</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="4" affiliations="2,3">
			<name>R. V. Martin</name>
		</author>
	</authors>
	<affiliations>
		<affiliation numeration="1" content_type="html">Atmospheric Sciences Modeling Division, Air Resources Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in partnership with the United States Environmental Protection Agency, 109 T. W. Alexander Drive, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, USA</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="2" content_type="html">Department of Physics and Atmospheric Science, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="3" content_type="html">Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA, USA</affiliation>
	</affiliations>
	<abstract content_type="html">An inverse modeling method was developed and tested for identifying possible
biases in emission inventories using satellite observations. The
relationships between emission inputs and modeled ambient concentrations were
estimated using sensitivities calculated with the decoupled direct method in
three dimensions (DDM-3D) implemented within the framework of the Community
Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) regional model. As a case study to test the
approach, the method was applied to regional ground-level NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;
emissions in the southeastern United States as constrained by observations of
NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; column densities derived from the Scanning Imaging Absorption
Spectrometer for Atmospheric Chartography (SCIAMACHY) satellite instrument. A
controlled &quot;pseudodata&quot; scenario with a known solution was used to
establish that the methodology can achieve the correct solution, and the
approach was then applied to a summer 2004 period where the satellite data
are available. The results indicate that emissions biases differ in urban and
rural areas of the southeast. The method suggested slight downward (less than
10%) adjustment to urban emissions, while rural region results were found to
be highly sensitive to NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt; processes in the upper troposphere. As
such, the bias in the rural areas is likely not solely due to biases in the
ground-level emissions. It was found that CMAQ was unable to predict the
significant level of NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; in the upper troposphere that was observed during
the NASA Intercontinental Chemical Transport Experiment (INTEX) measurement
campaign. The best correlation between satellite observations and modeled
NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; column densities, as well as comparison to ground-level observations
of NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;, was obtained by performing the inverse while accounting for the
significant presence of NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; in the upper troposphere not captured by the
regional model.</abstract>
	<references>
		<reference numeration="1" content_type="text"> Beirle, S., Platt, U., Wenig, M., and Wagner, T.: Weekly cycle of NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; by GOME measurements: a signature of anthropogenic sources, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 3, 2225–2232, 2003. </reference>
		<reference numeration="2" content_type="text"> Bertram, T. M., Perring, A. E., Wooldridge, P. J., Crounse, J. D., Kwan, A. J., Wennberg, P. O., Scheuer, E., Dibb, J., Avery, M., Sachse, G., Vay, S. A., Crawford, J. H., McNaughton, C. S., Clarke, A., Pickering, K. E., Fuelberg, H., Huey, G., Blake, D. R., Singh, H. B., Hall, S. B., Shetter, R. E., Fried, A., Heikes, B. G., and Cohen, R. C.: Direct Measurements of the Convective Recycling of the Upper Troposphere, Science, 315, 816–820, 2007. </reference>
		<reference numeration="3" content_type="text"> Blond, N., Boersma, K. F., Eskes, H. J., van der A, R. J., Van~Roozendael, M., De~Smedt, I., Bergametti, G., and Vautard, R.: Intercomparison of SCIAMACHY nitrogen dioxide observations, in situ measurements and air quality modeling results over Western Europe, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 112, D10311, doi:10.1029/2006JD007277, 2007. </reference>
		<reference numeration="4" content_type="text"> Boersma, K. F., Eskes, H. J., and Brinksma, E. J.: Error analysis for tropospheric NO$-2$ retrieval from space. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 109, D04311, doi:10.1029/2003JD003962, 2004 </reference>
		<reference numeration="5" content_type="text"> Bovensmann, H., Burrows, J. P., Buchwitz, M., Frerick, J., Noel, S., Rozanov, V. V., Chance, K. V., and Goede, A. P. H.: SCIAMACHY: Mission objectives and measurement modes. J. Atmos. Sci., 56(2), 127–150, 1999. </reference>
		<reference numeration="6" content_type="text"> Bucsela, E. J., Celarier, E. A., Wenig, M. O., Gleason, J. F., Veefkind, J. P., Boersma, K. F., and Brinksma, E. J.: Algorithm for NO2 vertical column retrieval from the ozone monitoring instrument. IEEE T. Geosci. Remote, 44(5), 1245–1258, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="7" content_type="text"> Byun, D. W. and Schere, K. L.: Review of the governing equations, computational algorithms, and other components of the Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system, Applied Mechanics Reviews, 59, 51–77, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="8" content_type="text"> Carter, W. P. L.: Documentation of the SAPRC99 Chemical Mechanism for VOC Reactivity Assessment, Air Pollution Research Center and College of Engineering, Center for Environmental Research and Technology, University of California, Riverside, CA, 2000. </reference>
		<reference numeration="9" content_type="text"> Chang, M. E., Hartley, D. E., Cardelino, C., and Chang, W. L.: Inverse modeling of biogenic isoprene emissions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 23(21), 3007–3010, 1996. </reference>
		<reference numeration="10" content_type="text"> Cho, S.-Y., Carmichael, G. R., and Rabitz, H.: Sensitivity analysis of the atmospheric reaction diffusion equation, Atmos. Environ., 12, 2589–2598, 1987. </reference>
		<reference numeration="11" content_type="text"> Cohan, D. S., Hakami, A., Hu, Y., and Russell, A. G.: Nonlinear response of ozone to emissions: Source apportionment and sensitivity analysis, Environ. Sci. Technol., 39(17), 6739–6748, 2005. </reference>
		<reference numeration="12" content_type="text"> Cooper, O. R., Stohl, A., Trainer, M., Thompson, A. M., Witte, J. C., Oltmans, S. J., Morris, G., Pickering, K. E., Crawford, J. H., Chen, G., Cohen, R. C., Bertram, T. H., Wooldridge, P., Perring, A., Brune, W. H., Merrill, J., Moody, J. L., Tarasick, D., Nedelec, P., Forbes, G., Newchurch, M. J., Schmidlin, F. J., Johnson, B. J., Turquety, S., Baughcum, S. L., Ren, X., Fehsenfeld, F. C., Meagher, J. F., Spichtinger, N., Brown, C. C., McKeen, S. A., McDermid, I. S., and Leblanc, T.: Large upper tropospheric ozone enhancements above midlatitude North America during summer: In situ evidence from the IONS and MOZAIC ozone measurement network, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 111, D24S05, doi:10.1029/2006JD007306, 2006 </reference>
		<reference numeration="13" content_type="text"> Deguillaume, L., Beekmann, M., and Menut, L.: Bayesian Monte Carlo analysis applied to regional-scale inverse emission modeling for reactive trace gases J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 112, D02307, doi:10.1029/2006JD007518, 2007 </reference>
		<reference numeration="14" content_type="text"> Dougherty, E. P., Hwang, J. T., and Rabitz, H.: Further developments and applications of the Green&apos;s function method of sensitivity analysis in chemical kinetics, J. Phys. Chem., 71, 1794–1808, 1979. </reference>
		<reference numeration="15" content_type="text"> Dunker, A. M.: Efficient calculation of sensitivity coefficients for complex atmospheric models, Atmos. Environ., 15, 1155–1161, 1981. </reference>
		<reference numeration="16" content_type="text"> Dunker, A. M.: The decoupled direct method for calculating sensitivity coefficients in chemical kinetics, J. Chem. Phys., 81, 2385–2393, 1984. </reference>
		<reference numeration="17" content_type="text"> Dunker, A. M., Yarwood, G., Ortmann, J. P., and Wilson, G. M.: The decoupled direct method for sensitivity analysis in a three-dimensional air quality model – implementation, accuracy, and efficiency, Environ. Sci. Technol., 36(13), 2965–2976, 2002. </reference>
		<reference numeration="18" content_type="text"> Gilliland, A. B. and Abbitt, P. J.: A sensitivity study of the discrete Kalman filter (DKF) to initial condition discrepancies, J. Geophys. Res., 106(D16), 17 939–17 952, 2001. </reference>
		<reference numeration="19" content_type="text"> Gilliland, A. B., Dennis, R. L., Roselle, S. J., and Pierce, T. E.: Seasonal NH&lt;sub&gt;3&lt;/sub&gt; emission estimates for the eastern United States based on ammonium wet concentrations and an inverse method, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D15), 4477, doi:10.1029/2002JD003063, 2003. </reference>
		<reference numeration="20" content_type="text"> Gilliland, A. B., Hogrefe, C., Pinder, R. W., Godowitch, J. M., Foley, K. L., and Rao, S. T.: Dynamic evaluation of regional air quality models: Assessing changes in O$-3$ stemming from changes in emissions and meteorology, Atmos. Environ., 42(20), 5110–5123, 2008. </reference>
		<reference numeration="21" content_type="text"> Grell, G., Dudhia, J., and Stauffer, D.: A description of the fifth-generations Penn State/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5), NCAR Technical Note, NCAR/TN-398+STR, 1995. </reference>
		<reference numeration="22" content_type="text"> Haas-Laursen, D. E., Hartley, D. E., and Prinn, R. G.: Optimizing an inverse method to deduce time-varying emissions of trace gases, J. Geophys. Res., 101(D17), 22 823 – 22 831, 1996. </reference>
		<reference numeration="23" content_type="text"> Hanna, S. R., Lu, Z. G., Frey, H. C., Wheeler, N., Vukovich, J., Arunachalam, S., Fernau, M., and Hansen, D. A.: Uncertainties in predicted ozone concentrations due to input uncertainties for the UAM-V photochemical grid model applied to the July 1995 OTAG domain, Atmos. Environ., 35(5), 891–903, 2001. </reference>
		<reference numeration="24" content_type="text"> Hansen, D. A., Edgerton, E. S., Hartsell, B. E., Jansen, J. J., Kandasamy, N., Hidy, G. M., and Blanchard, C. L.: The southeastern aerosol research and characterization study: Part 1 – overview, J. Air Waste Manage., 53(12), 1460–1471, 2003. </reference>
		<reference numeration="25" content_type="text"> Hartley, D. E. and Prinn, R. G.: Feasibility of determining surface emissions of trace gases using an inverse method in a three-dimensional chemical transport model, J. Geophys. Res., 98, 5183–5197, 1993. </reference>
		<reference numeration="26" content_type="text"> Hudman, R. C., Jacob, D. J., Turquety, S., Leibensperger, E. M., Murray, L. T., Wu, S., Gilliland, A. B., Avery, M., Bertram, T. H., Brune, W., Cohen, R. C., Dibb, J. E., Flocke, F. M., Fried, A., Holloway, J., Neuman, J. A., Orville, R., Perring, A., Ren, X., Sachse, G. W., Singh, H. B., Swanson, A., and Wooldridge, P. J.: Surface and lightning sources of nitrogen oxides over the United States: Magnitudes, chemical evolution, and outflow, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 112, D12S05, doi:10.1029/2006JD007912, 2007 </reference>
		<reference numeration="27" content_type="text"> Jaeglé, L., Steinberger, L., Martin, R. V., and Chance, K.: Global partitioning of NO$_x$ sources using satellite observations: Relative roles of fossil fuel combustion, biomass burning and soil emissions, Faraday Discuss., 130, 407–423, 2005. </reference>
		<reference numeration="28" content_type="text"> Kim, S. W., Heckel, A., McKeen, S. A., Frost, G. J., Hsie, E. Y., Trainer, M. K., Richter, A., Burrows, J. P., Peckham, S. E., and Grell, G. A.: Satellite-observed US power plant NO$_x$ emission reductions and their impact on air quality, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L22812, doi:10.1029/2006GL027749, 2006 </reference>
		<reference numeration="29" content_type="text"> Knowlton, K., Rosenthal, J. E., Hogrefe, C., Lynn, B., Gaffin, S., Goldberg, R., Rosenzweig, C., Civerolo, K., Ku, J.-Y., and Kinney, P. L.: Assessing ozone-related health impacts under a changing climate, Environ. Health Persp., 112(15), 1557–1563, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="30" content_type="text"> Koda, M. and Seinfeld, J. H.: Sensitivity analysis of distributed parameter systems, IEEE T. Automat. Contr.l, 27(4), 951–955, 1982. </reference>
		<reference numeration="31" content_type="text"> Konovalov, I. B., Beekmann, M., Burrows, J. P., and Richter, A.: Satellite measurement based estimates of decadal changes in European nitrogen oxides emissions, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 2623–2641, 2008. </reference>
		<reference numeration="32" content_type="text"> Konovalov, I. B., Beekmann, M., Richter, A., and Burrows, J. P.: Inverse modelling of the spatial distribution of NO$_x$ emissions on a continental scale using satellite data, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 6, 1747–1770, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="33" content_type="text"> Koo, B., Dunker, A. M., and Yarwood, G.: Implementing the decoupled direct method for sensitivity analysis in a particulate matter air quality model, Environ. Sci. Technol., 41(8), 2847–2854, 2007. </reference>
		<reference numeration="34" content_type="text"> Martin, R. V., Chance, K., Jacob, D. J., Kurosu, T. P., Spurr, R. J. D., Bucsela, E., Gleason, J. F., Palmer, P. I., Bey, I., Fiore, A. M., Li, Q., Yantosca, R. M., and Koelemeijer, R. B. A.: An improved retrieval of tropospheric nitrogen dioxide from GOME, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D20), 4437, doi:10.1029/2001JD001027, 2002. </reference>
		<reference numeration="35" content_type="text"> Martin, R. V., Jacob, D. J., Chance, K., Kurosu, T. P., Palmer, P. I., and Evans, M. J.: Global inventory of nitrogen oxide emissions constrained by space-based observations of NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; columns, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D17), 4537, doi:10.1029/2003JD003453, 2003. </reference>
		<reference numeration="36" content_type="text"> Martin, R. V., Sioris, C. E., Chance, K., Ryerson, T. B., Bertram, T. H., Wooldridge, P. J., Cohen, R. C., Neuman, J. A., Swanson, A., and Flocke, F. M.: Evaluation of space-based constraints on global nitrogen oxide emissions with regional aircraft measurements over and downwind of eastern North America, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 111, D15308, doi:10.1029/2005JD006680, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="37" content_type="text"> Mendoza-Dominguez, A. and Russell, A. G.: Iterative inverse modeling and direct sensitivity analysis of a photochemical air quality model, Environ. Sci. Technol., 34(23), 4974–4981, 2000. </reference>
		<reference numeration="38" content_type="text"> Mulholland, M. and Seinfeld, J. H.: INVERSE AIR-POLLUTION MODELING OF URBAN-SCALE CARBON-MONOXIDE EMISSIONS, Atmos. Environ., 29(4), 497–516, 1995. </reference>
		<reference numeration="39" content_type="text"> Müller, J.-F. and Stavrakou, T.: Inversion of CO and NOx emissions using the adjoint of the IMAGES model, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, 1157–1186, 2005. </reference>
		<reference numeration="40" content_type="text"> Napelenok, S. L., Cohan, D. S., Hu, Y. T., and Russell, A. G.: Decoupled direct 3D sensitivity analysis for particulate matter (DDM-3D/PM), Atmos. Environ., 40(32), 6112–6121, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="41" content_type="text"> Quélo, D., Mallet, V., and Sportisse, B.: Inverse modeling of NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt; emissions at regional scale over northern France: preliminary investigation of the second-order sensitivity, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D24310, doi:10.1029/2005JD006151, 2005. </reference>
		<reference numeration="42" content_type="text"> Richter, A. and Burrows, J. P.: Tropospheric NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; from GOME measurements, Adv. Space Res., 29, 1673–1683, 2002. </reference>
		<reference numeration="43" content_type="text"> Rodgers, C. D.: Inverse methods for atmospheric sounding: theory and practice, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., 2000. </reference>
		<reference numeration="44" content_type="text"> Ryerson, T. B., Williams, E. J., and Fehsenfeld, F. C.: An efficient photolysis system for fast-response NO2 measurements, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 105(D21), 26 447–26 461, 2000. </reference>
		<reference numeration="45" content_type="text"> Sandu, A., Daescu, D. N., and Carmichael, G. R.: Direct and adjoint sensitivity analysis of chemical kinetics systems with KPP: Part I – theory and software tools, Atmos. Environ., 37(36), 5083–5096, 2003. </reference>
		<reference numeration="46" content_type="text"> Singh, H. B., Brune, W. H., Crawford, J. H., Jacob, D. J., and Russell, P. B.: Overview of the summer 2004 intercontinental che mical transport experiment – North America (INTEX-A), J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 111, D24S01, doi:10.1029/2006JD007905, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="47" content_type="text"> Singh, H. B., Salas, L., Herlth, D., Kolyer, R., Czech, E., Avery, M., Crawford, J. H., Pierce, R. B., Sachse, G. W., Blake, D. R., Cohen, R. C., Bertram, T. H., Perring, A., Wooldridge, P. J., Dibb, J., Huey, G., Hudman, R. C., Turquety, S., Emmons, L. K., Flocke, F., Tang, Y., Carmichael, G. R., and Horowitz, L. W.: Reactive nitrogen distribution and partitioning in the North American troposphere and lowermost stratosphere, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 112, D12S04, doi:10.1029/2006JD007664, 2007. </reference>
		<reference numeration="48" content_type="text"> US-EPA: SMOKE v2.0 User&apos;s Manual, http://www.smoke-model.org/version2/index.cfm, (last access: January 2008), 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="49" content_type="text"> Wang, Y. X., McElroy, M. B., Martin, R. V., Streets, D. G., Zhang, Q., and Fu, T. M.: Seasonal variability of NOx emissions over east China constrained by satellite observations: Implications for combustion and microbial sources, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 112, D06301, doi:10.1029/2006JD007538, 2007. </reference>
		<reference numeration="50" content_type="text"> Yang, Y. J., Wilkinson, J. G., and Russell, A. G.: Fast, direct sensitivity analysis of multidimensional photochemical models, Environ. Sci. Technol., 31(10), 2859–2868, 1997. </reference>
	</references>
</article>

