References

ACP

Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics

ACP

1680-7324

Copernicus GmbH

Göttingen, Germany

10.5194/acp-6-5225-2006

Radiative forcing by aerosols as derived from the AeroCom present-day and pre-industrial simulations

Schulz

¹ Textor

¹ Kinne

² Balkanski

¹ Bauer

³ Berntsen

⁴ Berglen

⁴ Boucher

⁵ ¹¹ Dentener

⁶ Guibert

¹ Isaksen

I. S. A.

⁴ Iversen

⁴ Koch

³ Kirkevåg

⁴ Liu

⁷ ¹² Montanaro

⁸ Myhre

⁴ Penner

J. E.

⁷ Pitari

⁸ Reddy

⁹ Seland

Ø.

⁴ Stier

² Takemura

¹⁰

Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Gif-sur-Yvette, France

Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Centre for Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (ZMAW), Hamburg, Germany

Columbia University, GISS, New York, USA

University of Oslo, Department of Geosciences, Oslo, Norway

Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, UK

European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability,Climate Change Unit, Ispra, Italy

Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic and Space Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Dipartimento di Fisica, Università degli Studi L'Aquila, Coppito, Italy

NOAA, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey, USA

Research Institute for Apllied mechanics, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan

Laboratoire d'Optique Atmospherique, Université des Sciences et Technologies de Lille, CNRS, Villeneuve d'Ascq, France

Battelle, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA

16 11 2006

6 12 5225 5246

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Nine different global models with detailed aerosol modules have independently produced instantaneous direct radiative forcing due to anthropogenic aerosols. The anthropogenic impact is derived from the difference of two model simulations with prescribed aerosol emissions, one for present-day and one for pre-industrial conditions. The difference in the solar energy budget at the top of the atmosphere (ToA) yields a new harmonized estimate for the aerosol direct radiative forcing (RF) under all-sky conditions. On a global annual basis RF is −0.22 Wm−2, ranging from +0.04 to −0.41 Wm−2, with a standard deviation of ±0.16 Wm−2. Anthropogenic nitrate and dust are not included in this estimate. No model shows a significant positive all-sky RF. The corresponding clear-sky RF is −0.68 Wm−2. The cloud-sky RF was derived based on all-sky and clear-sky RF and modelled cloud cover. It was significantly different from zero and ranged between −0.16 and +0.34 Wm−2. A sensitivity analysis shows that the total aerosol RF is influenced by considerable diversity in simulated residence times, mass extinction coefficients and most importantly forcing efficiencies (forcing per unit optical depth). The clear-sky forcing efficiency (forcing per unit optical depth) has diversity comparable to that for the all-sky/ clear-sky forcing ratio. While the diversity in clear-sky forcing efficiency is impacted by factors such as aerosol absorption, size, and surface albedo, we can show that the all-sky/clear-sky forcing ratio is important because all-sky forcing estimates require proper representation of cloud fields and the correct relative altitude placement between absorbing aerosol and clouds. The analysis of the sulphate RF shows that long sulphate residence times are compensated by low mass extinction coefficients and vice versa. This is explained by more sulphate particle humidity growth and thus higher extinction in those models where short-lived sulphate is present at lower altitude and vice versa. Solar atmospheric forcing within the atmospheric column is estimated at +0.82±0.17 Wm−2. The local annual average maxima of atmospheric forcing exceed +5 Wm−2 confirming the regional character of aerosol impacts on climate. The annual average surface forcing is −1.02±0.23 Wm−2. With the current uncertainties in the modelling of the radiative forcing due to the direct aerosol effect we show here that an estimate from one model is not sufficient but a combination of several model estimates is necessary to provide a mean and to explore the uncertainty.

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