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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ACP</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ACP</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1680-7324</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus GmbH</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/acp-2-271-2002</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Global ozone forecasting based on ERS-2 GOME observations</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Eskes</surname>
<given-names>H. J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>van Velthoven</surname>
<given-names>P. F. J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kelder</surname>
<given-names>H. M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>28</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2002</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2</volume>
<issue>4</issue>
<fpage>271</fpage>
<lpage>278</lpage>
<permissions>
<license xlink:type="simple">
<license-p>This is an open-access article ditributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
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<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/2/271/2002/acp-2-271-2002.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/2/271/2002/acp-2-271-2002.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The availability of near-real time ozone observations from
      satellite instruments has recently initiated the development of ozone data assimilation systems. In this paper we present the
      results of an ozone assimilation and forecasting system, in use since Autumn 2000. The forecasts are produced by an ozone
      transport and chemistry model, driven by the operational medium range forecasts of ECMWF. The forecasts are initialised with
      realistic ozone distributions, obtained by the assimilation of near-real time total column observations of the GOME spectrometer
      on ERS-2.  The forecast error diagnostics demonstrate that the system produces meaningful total ozone forecasts for up to 6 days
      in the extratropics. In the tropics meaningful forecasts of the small anomalies are restricted to shorter periods of about two
      days with the present model setup. It is demonstrated that important events, such as the breakup of the South Pole ozone hole
      and mini-hole events above Europe can be successfully predicted 4--5 days in advance.</p>
</abstract>
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</article-meta>
</front>
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