Articles | Volume 16, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-4967-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-4967-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
21 Apr 2016
Research article |
| 21 Apr 2016
Forecasting the northern African dust outbreak towards Europe in April 2011: a model intercomparison
N. Huneeus
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, IPSL,
CNRS/UPMC, Paris, France
Department of Geophysics and Center for Climate and
Resilience Research, University of Chile, Santiago, Chile
S. Basart
Earth Sciences Department, Barcelona Supercomputing
Center, BSC-CNS, Barcelona, Spain
S. Fiedler
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds,
Leeds, UK
Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
now at: Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg,
Germany
J.-J. Morcrette
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,
Reading, UK
A. Benedetti
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,
Reading, UK
J. Mulcahy
Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB,
UK
E. Terradellas
Meteorological State Agency of Spain (AEMET), Barcelona,
Spain
C. Pérez García-Pando
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York,
USA
Department of Applied Physics and Applied Math, Columbia
University, New York, USA
G. Pejanovic
National Hydrometeorological Service, Belgrade,
Serbia
S. Nickovic
National Hydrometeorological Service, Belgrade,
Serbia
Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research,
Spanish Research Council, Barcelona, Spain
P. Arsenovic
National Hydrometeorological Service, Belgrade,
Serbia
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH,
Zürich, Switzerland
M. Schulz
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo,
Norway
E. Cuevas
Izaña Atmospheric Research Center, State
Meteorological Agency of Spain (AEMET), Santa Cruz de Tenerife,
Spain
J. M. Baldasano
Earth Sciences Department, Barcelona Supercomputing
Center, BSC-CNS, Barcelona, Spain
Environmental Modelling Laboratory, Technical University
of Catalonia, Barcelona, Spain
J. Pey
Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research,
Spanish Research Council, Barcelona, Spain
Geological Survey of Spain (IGME), Zaragoza,
Spain
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,
Reading, UK
now at: Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique,
IPSL, CNRS/UPMC, Paris, France
B. Cvetkovic
National Hydrometeorological Service, Belgrade,
Serbia
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Cited
30 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Effectiveness of organic amendment and application thickness on properties of a sandy soil and sand stabilization M. Abdalla et al. 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2020.104273
- The Extreme North African Haboob in October 2008: High‐Resolution Simulation of Organized Moist Convection in the Lee of the Atlas, Dust Recirculation and Poleward Transport S. Dhital et al. 10.1029/2021JD035858
- Large scale upper-level precursors for dust storm formation over North Africa and poleward transport to the Iberian Peninsula. Part I: An observational analysis J. Orza et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117688
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- WITHDRAWN: Large Scale Upper-level Precursors for Dust Storm Formation over North Africa and Poleward Transport to the Iberian Peninsula. Part I: An Observational Analysis J. Orza et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117932
- Synoptic analysis and simulation of an unusual dust event over the Atacama Desert M. Reyers et al. 10.1002/asl.899
- An Evaluation of the CHIMERE Chemistry Transport Model to Simulate Dust Outbreaks across the Northern Hemisphere in March 2014 B. Bessagnet et al. 10.3390/atmos8120251
- Direct radiative effects during intense Mediterranean desert dust outbreaks A. Gkikas et al. 10.5194/acp-18-8757-2018
- Status and future of numerical atmospheric aerosol prediction with a focus on data requirements A. Benedetti et al. 10.5194/acp-18-10615-2018
- Modeling Desert Dust Exposures in Epidemiologic Short-term Health Effects Studies A. Tobías & M. Stafoggia 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001255
- On the sensitivity of anthropogenic aerosol forcing to model‐internal variability and parameterizing a Twomey effect S. Fiedler et al. 10.1002/2017MS000932
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- Diurnal spatial distributions of aerosol optical and cloud micro-macrophysics properties in Africa based on MODIS observations D. Ntwali & H. Chen 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2018.03.054
- Subregional inversion of North African dust sources J. Escribano et al. 10.1002/2016JD025020
- Infrared dust aerosol optical depth retrieved daily from IASI and comparison with AERONET over the period 2007–2016 V. Capelle et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2017.12.008
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- The climatology of dust events over the European continent using data of the BSC-DREAM8b model F. Mandija et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.03.006
- Modification of Local Urban Aerosol Properties by Long-Range Transport of Biomass Burning Aerosol I. Stachlewska et al. 10.3390/rs10030412
- Saharan Dust Modeling Over the Mediterranean Basin and Central Europe: Does the Resolution Matter? L. Palacios-Peña et al. 10.3389/feart.2019.00290
- Profiling of Saharan dust from the Caribbean to western Africa – Part 2: Shipborne lidar measurements versus forecasts A. Ansmann et al. 10.5194/acp-17-14987-2017
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- Aerosol optical depth comparison between GAW-PFR and AERONET-Cimel radiometers from long-term (2005–2015) 1 min synchronous measurements E. Cuevas et al. 10.5194/amt-12-4309-2019
- Subsurface iron accumulation and rapid aluminum removal in the Mediterranean following African dust deposition M. Bressac et al. 10.5194/bg-18-6435-2021
- Long-term systematic profiling of dust aerosol optical properties using the EOLE NTUA lidar system over Athens, Greece (2000–2016) O. Soupiona et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2018.04.011
29 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Effects of Extreme Dust Storm in Agricultural Areas (Poland, the Greater Lowland) M. Hojan et al. 10.3390/geosciences9030106
- Three-dimensional evolution of Saharan dust transport towards Europe based on a 9-year EARLINET-optimized CALIPSO dataset E. Marinou et al. 10.5194/acp-17-5893-2017
- Effectiveness of organic amendment and application thickness on properties of a sandy soil and sand stabilization M. Abdalla et al. 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2020.104273
- The Extreme North African Haboob in October 2008: High‐Resolution Simulation of Organized Moist Convection in the Lee of the Atlas, Dust Recirculation and Poleward Transport S. Dhital et al. 10.1029/2021JD035858
- Large scale upper-level precursors for dust storm formation over North Africa and poleward transport to the Iberian Peninsula. Part I: An observational analysis J. Orza et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117688
- Multimodel simulations of a springtime dust storm over northeastern China: implications of an evaluation of four commonly used air quality models (CMAQ v5.2.1, CAMx v6.50, CHIMERE v2017r4, and WRF-Chem v3.9.1) S. Ma et al. 10.5194/gmd-12-4603-2019
- WITHDRAWN: Large Scale Upper-level Precursors for Dust Storm Formation over North Africa and Poleward Transport to the Iberian Peninsula. Part I: An Observational Analysis J. Orza et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117932
- Synoptic analysis and simulation of an unusual dust event over the Atacama Desert M. Reyers et al. 10.1002/asl.899
- An Evaluation of the CHIMERE Chemistry Transport Model to Simulate Dust Outbreaks across the Northern Hemisphere in March 2014 B. Bessagnet et al. 10.3390/atmos8120251
- Direct radiative effects during intense Mediterranean desert dust outbreaks A. Gkikas et al. 10.5194/acp-18-8757-2018
- Status and future of numerical atmospheric aerosol prediction with a focus on data requirements A. Benedetti et al. 10.5194/acp-18-10615-2018
- Modeling Desert Dust Exposures in Epidemiologic Short-term Health Effects Studies A. Tobías & M. Stafoggia 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001255
- On the sensitivity of anthropogenic aerosol forcing to model‐internal variability and parameterizing a Twomey effect S. Fiedler et al. 10.1002/2017MS000932
- Can explicit convection improve modelled dust in summertime West Africa? A. Roberts et al. 10.5194/acp-18-9025-2018
- Performance of a dust model to predict the vertical mass concentration of an extreme Saharan dust event in the Iberian Peninsula: Comparison with continuous, elastic, polarization-sensitive lidars C. Córdoba-Jabonero et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.116828
- Diurnal spatial distributions of aerosol optical and cloud micro-macrophysics properties in Africa based on MODIS observations D. Ntwali & H. Chen 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2018.03.054
- Subregional inversion of North African dust sources J. Escribano et al. 10.1002/2016JD025020
- Infrared dust aerosol optical depth retrieved daily from IASI and comparison with AERONET over the period 2007–2016 V. Capelle et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2017.12.008
- Saharan dust intrusions in the Iberian Peninsula: Predominant synoptic conditions A. Russo et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137041
- Anthropogenic aerosol forcing – insights from multiple estimates from aerosol-climate models with reduced complexity S. Fiedler et al. 10.5194/acp-19-6821-2019
- Long-term (1980–2018) spatial and temporal variability of the atmospheric dust load and deposition fluxes along the North-African coast of the Mediterranean Sea M. Bibi et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104689
- The climatology of dust events over the European continent using data of the BSC-DREAM8b model F. Mandija et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.03.006
- Modification of Local Urban Aerosol Properties by Long-Range Transport of Biomass Burning Aerosol I. Stachlewska et al. 10.3390/rs10030412
- Saharan Dust Modeling Over the Mediterranean Basin and Central Europe: Does the Resolution Matter? L. Palacios-Peña et al. 10.3389/feart.2019.00290
- Profiling of Saharan dust from the Caribbean to western Africa – Part 2: Shipborne lidar measurements versus forecasts A. Ansmann et al. 10.5194/acp-17-14987-2017
- Assimilation of MODIS Dark Target and Deep Blue observations in the dust aerosol component of NMMB-MONARCH version 1.0 E. Di Tomaso et al. 10.5194/gmd-10-1107-2017
- Extreme, wintertime Saharan dust intrusion in the Iberian Peninsula: Lidar monitoring and evaluation of dust forecast models during the February 2017 event A. Fernández et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.06.007
- Aerosol optical depth comparison between GAW-PFR and AERONET-Cimel radiometers from long-term (2005–2015) 1 min synchronous measurements E. Cuevas et al. 10.5194/amt-12-4309-2019
- Subsurface iron accumulation and rapid aluminum removal in the Mediterranean following African dust deposition M. Bressac et al. 10.5194/bg-18-6435-2021
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Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 23 Apr 2024
Short summary
Five dust models are evaluated regarding their performance in predicting an intense Saharan dust outbreak affecting western and northern Europe (NE). Models predict the onset and evolution of the event for all analysed lead times. On average, differences among the models are larger than differences in lead times for each model. The models tend to underestimate the long-range transport towards NE. This is partly due to difficulties in simulating the vertical dust distribution and horizontal wind.
Five dust models are evaluated regarding their performance in predicting an intense Saharan dust...
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