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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ACP</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ACP</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1680-7324</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus GmbH</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/acp-12-4413-2012</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Megacity ozone air quality under four alternative future scenarios</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Butler</surname>
<given-names>T. M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Stock</surname>
<given-names>Z. S.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Russo</surname>
<given-names>M. R.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Denier van der Gon</surname>
<given-names>H. A. C.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lawrence</surname>
<given-names>M. G.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies, Potsdam, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Chemistry, Cambridge University, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>NCAS Climate, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>TNO – Department Climate, Air and Sustainability , Princetonlaan 6, 3584 CB Utrecht, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>16</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2012</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>12</volume>
<issue>10</issue>
<fpage>4413</fpage>
<lpage>4428</lpage>
<permissions>
<license xlink:type="simple">
<license-p>This is an open-access article ditributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/12/4413/2012/acp-12-4413-2012.html">This article is available from http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/12/4413/2012/acp-12-4413-2012.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/12/4413/2012/acp-12-4413-2012.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/12/4413/2012/acp-12-4413-2012.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The impact of the megacities of the world on global tropospheric ozone, and conversely,
      the extent to which
      megacities are influenced by emissions of ozone precursors from outside of the megacities
      is examined under the four
      alternative RCP (&quot;Representative Concentration Pathway&quot;) emissions scenarios.
      Despite accounting for about 6% of present-day anthropogenic emissions of ozone precursor species,
      the contribution of emissions from megacities to global tropospheric ozone is calculated to be 0.84%.
      By 2100 this contribution falls to between 0.18% and 0.62% depending on the scenario,
      with the lower value being for the most-polluting of the four future emissions scenarios
      due to stringent controls on ozone precursor emissions from highly populated
      areas combined with a
      stronger tropospheric background ozone field.
      The higher end of this range is from the least-polluting of the four emissions scenarios,
      due to lower background tropospheric ozone combined with the use of a simpler downscaling
      methodology in the construction of the scenario, which results in higher emissions from
      megacities.
      Although the absolute impact of megacities on global ozone is small, an important result of this
      study is that under all future scenarios,
      future air quality in megacities is expected to be less influenced by local emissions
      within the cities, but instead more influenced by emission sources outside of the cities,
      with mixing ratios of background ozone projected to play an increasing role in megacity air quality
      throughout the 21st century.
      Assumptions made when downscaling the emissions scenarios onto the grids used in
      such modelling studies can have a large influence on these results;
      future generations of emissions scenarios should include spatially explicit representations
      or urban development suitable for air quality studies using global chemical transport models.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="16"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
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