Source attribution of the changes in atmospheric methane for 2006–2008 1Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, IPSL-LSCE, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, UMR8212 91191, France
20 Apr 2011
2Université de Versailles Saint Quentin en Yvelines, France
3NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Global Monitoring Division, Boulder, CO, USA
4South African Weather Service, Stellenbosch, South Africa
5Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, USA
6Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research/CSIRO, Marine and Atmospheric Research, Victoria, Australia
Received: 27 October 2010 – Published in Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss.: 12 November 2010 Abstract. The recent increase of atmospheric methane is investigated by using two atmospheric
inversions to quantify the distribution of sources and sinks for the 2006–2008 period, and a
process-based model of methane emissions by natural wetland ecosystems. Methane emissions derived
from the two inversions are consistent at a global scale: emissions are decreased in 2006 (−7 Tg)
and increased in 2007 (+21 Tg) and 2008 (+18 Tg), as compared to the 1999–2006 period. The agreement
on the latitudinal partition of the flux anomalies for the two inversions is fair in 2006, good in 2007,
and not good in 2008. In 2007, a positive anomaly of tropical emissions is found to be the main contributor
to the global emission anomalies (~60–80%) for both inversions, with a dominant share attributed to
natural wetlands (~2/3), and a significant contribution from high latitudes (~25%). The wetland
ecosystem model produces smaller and more balanced positive emission anomalies between the tropics and the high
latitudes for 2006, 2007 and 2008, mainly due to precipitation changes during these years. At a global scale,
the agreement between the ecosystem model and the inversions is good in 2008 but not satisfying in 2006 and 2007.
Tropical South America and Boreal Eurasia appear to be major contributors to variations in methane emissions
consistently in the inversions and the ecosystem model. Finally, changes in OH radicals during 2006–2008 are found to
be less than 1% in inversions, with only a small impact on the inferred methane emissions.
Revised: 29 March 2011 – Accepted: 08 April 2011 – Published: 20 April 2011
Citation: Bousquet, P., Ringeval, B., Pison, I., Dlugokencky, E. J., Brunke, E.-G., Carouge, C., Chevallier, F., Fortems-Cheiney, A., Frankenberg, C., Hauglustaine, D. A., Krummel, P. B., Langenfelds, R. L., Ramonet, M., Schmidt, M., Steele, L. P., Szopa, S., Yver, C., Viovy, N., and Ciais, P.: Source attribution of the changes in atmospheric methane for 2006–2008, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 3689-3700, doi:10.5194/acp-11-3689-2011, 2011.