<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "http://dtd.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ACP</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ACP</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1680-7324</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus GmbH</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/acp-10-2643-2010</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>On the seasonal dependence of tropical lower-stratospheric temperature trends</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fu</surname>
<given-names>Q.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Solomon</surname>
<given-names>S.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lin</surname>
<given-names>P.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Chemical Science Division, Earth System Research Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>18</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2010</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>10</volume>
<issue>6</issue>
<fpage>2643</fpage>
<lpage>2653</lpage>
<permissions>
<license xlink:type="simple">
<license-p>This is an open-access article ditributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/10/2643/2010/acp-10-2643-2010.html">This article is available from http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/10/2643/2010/acp-10-2643-2010.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/10/2643/2010/acp-10-2643-2010.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/10/2643/2010/acp-10-2643-2010.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>This study examines the seasonality of tropical lower-stratospheric
temperature trends using the Microwave Sounding Unit lower-stratospheric
channel (&lt;i&gt;T&lt;/i&gt;&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;) for 1980–2008. We present evidence that this seasonality is
largely a response to changes in the Brewer-Dobson circulation (BDC) driven
by extratropical wave forcing. We show how the tropical &lt;i&gt;T&lt;/i&gt;&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; trend can be
used as an indicator of changes in the BDC, and find that the BDC is
strengthening for 1980–2008 in June–November related to the Southern
Hemisphere (SH) and in December–February to the Northern Hemisphere (NH). In
marked contrast, we find that the BDC is weakening in March–May, apparently
because of a weakening of its northern cell. The novel observational
evidence on the seasonal dependence of the BDC trends presented in this
study has important implications for the understanding of climate change in
the stratosphere as well as testing climate model simulations.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="11"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
<ref-list>
<title>References</title>
<ref id="ref1">
<label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Andrews, D. G., Holton, J. R., and Leovy, C. B.: Middle atmosphere dynamics, Academic Press, Orlando, USA, 489 pp., 1987. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref2">
<label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Butchart, N., Scaife, A. A., Bourqui, M., de Grandpre, J., Hare, S. H. E., Kettleborough, J., Langematz, U., Manzini, E., Sassi, F., Shibata, K., Shindell, D., and Sigmond M.: Simulations of anthropogenic change in the strength of the Brewer-Dobson circulation, Clim. Dynam., 27, 727–741, 2006. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref3">
<label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Chae, H. C. and Sherwood, S. C.: Annual temperature cycle of the tropical tropopause: A simple model study, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D19111, doi:10.1029/2006JD007956, 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref4">
<label>4</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Christy, J. R., Spencer, R. W., Norris, W. B., Braswell, W. D., and Parker, D. E.: Error estimates of version 5.0 of MSU-AMSU bulk atmospheric temperatures, J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 20, 613–629, 2003. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref5">
<label>5</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Deckert, R. and Dameris, M.: Higher tropical SSTs strengthen the tropical upwelling via deep convection, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L10813, doi:10.1029/2008GL033719, 2008. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref6">
<label>6</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Eichelberger, S. J. and Hartmann, D. L.: Changes in the strength of the Brewer-Dobson Circulation in a simple AGCM, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L15807, doi:10.1029/2005GL022924, 2005. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref7">
<label>7</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Engel, A., Mobius, T., Bonisch, H., et al.: Age of stratospheric air unchanged within uncertainties over the past 30 years, Nature Geosci., 2, 28–31, 2009. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref8">
<label>8</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Fu, Q. and Johanson, C. M.: Satellite-derived vertical dependence of tropical tropospheric temperature trends, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L10703, doi:10.1029/2004GL022266, 2005. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref9">
<label>9</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Fu, Q., Solomon, S., and Lin, P.: On the seasonal dependence of tropical lower-stratospheric temperature trends, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 9, 21819–21846, 2009. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref10">
<label>10</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Haklander, A. J., Siegmund, P. C., Sigmond, M., and Kelder, H. M.: How does the northern-winter wave driving of the Brewer-Dobson circulation increase in an enhanced-CO2 climate simulation?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L07702, doi:10.1029/2007GL033054, 2008. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref11">
<label>11</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Haynes, P. H., Marks, C. J., McIntyre, M. E., Shepherd, T. G., and Shine, K. P.: On the &quot;downward control&quot; of extratropical diabatic circulations by eddy-induced mean zonal forces, J. Atmos. Sci., 48, 651–678, 1991. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref12">
<label>12</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Holton, J. R., Haynes, P. H., McIntyre, M. E., Douglass, A. R., Rood, R. B., and Pfister, L.: Stratosphere-troposphere exchange, Rev. Geophys., 33, 403–439, 1995. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref13">
<label>13</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Hu, Y. and Tung, K. K.: Interannual and decadal variations of planetary wave activity, stratospheric cooling, and Northern Hemisphere annual mode, J. Climate, 15, 1659–1673, 2002. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref14">
<label>14</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Hu, Y. and Fu, Q.: Stratospheric warming in Southern Hemisphere high latitudes since 1979, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 4329–4340, 2009. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref15">
<label>15</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Johanson, C. M. and Fu, Q.: Antarctic atmospheric temperature trend patterns from satellite observations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L12703, doi:10.1029/2006GL029108, 2007. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref16">
<label>16</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., White, C., Woollen, J., Zhu, Y., Chelliah, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Higgins, W., Janowiak, J., Mo, K. C., Ropelewski, C., Wang, J., Leetmaa, A., Reynolds, R., Jenne, P., and Joseph, D.: The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77, 437–471, 1996. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref17">
<label>17</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Kerr-Munslow, A. M. and Norton, W. A.: Tropical wave driving of the annual cycle in tropical tropopause temperatures. Part 1: ECMWF analyses, J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 1410–1419, 2006. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref18">
<label>18</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Li, F., Austin, J., and Wilson, J.: The strength of the Brewer-Dobson circulation in a changing climate: a coupled chemistry model simulation, J. Climate, 21, 40–57, 2008. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref19">
<label>19</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Lin, P., Fu, Q., Solomon, S. and Wallace, J. M.: Temperature trend patterns in Southern Hemisphere high latitudes: novel indicators of stratospheric changes, J. Climate, 22, 6325++6341, 2009. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref20">
<label>20</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Mears, C. A. and Wentz, F. J.: Construction of the Remote Sensing Systems V3.2 Atmospheric Temperature Records from the MSU and AMSU Microwave Sounders, J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 26, 1040–1056, 2009. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref21">
<label>21</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Meehl, G. A., Covey, C., McAveney, B., Latif, M., and Stouffer, R. J.: Overview of the coupled model intercomparison project, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 86, 89–93, 2005. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref22">
<label>22</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Newman, P. A., Nash, E. R., and Rosenfield, J. E.: What controls the temperature of the Arctic stratosphere during the spring? J. Geophys. Res., 106D17, 19999–20010, 2001. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref23">
<label>23</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Ramaswamy, V., Schwarzkopf, M. D., and Randel, W. J.: Fingerprint of ozone depletion in the spatial and temporal pattern of recent lower-stratospheric cooling, Nature, 382, 616–618, 1996. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref24">
<label>24</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Ramaswamy, V., Schwarzkopf, M. D., Randel, W. J., Santer, B. D., Soden, B. J., and Stenchikov, G.: Anthropogenic and natural influences in the evolution of lower stratospheric cooling, Science, 311, 1138–1141, 2006. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref25">
<label>25</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Randel, W. J., Wu, F., Nedoluha, G., Vomel, H., and Forster, P.: Decreases in stratospheric water vapor since 2001: Links to changes in the tropical tropopause and the Brewer-Dobson circulation, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D12312, doi:10.1029/2005JD006744, 2006. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref26">
<label>26</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Rind, D., Lerner, J., and McLinden, C.: Changes of trace distributions in the doubled CO2 climate, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 28061–28080, 2001. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref27">
<label>27</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Rosenlof, K. H. and Reid, G. C.: Trends in the temperature and water vapor content of the tropical lower stratopshere: Sea surface connection, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D06107, doi:10.1029/2007JD009109, 2008. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref28">
<label>28</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Salby, M. L. and Callaghan, P. F.: Interannual changes of the stratospheric circulation: Relationship to ozone and tropospheric structure, J. Climate, 15, 3673–3685, 2002. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref29">
<label>29</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Shine, K. P., Bourqui, M. S., Forster, P. M. F., et al.: A comparison of model-simulated trends in stratospheric temperatures, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, 1565–1588, 2003. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref30">
<label>30</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Sigmond, M., Scinocca, J. F., and Kushner P. J.: Impact of the stratosphere on tropospheric climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L12706, doi:10.1029/2008GL033573, 2008. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref31">
<label>31</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Stolarski, R. S., Douglass, A. R., Steenrod, S., and Pawson, S.: Trends in stratospheric ozone: Lessons learned from a 3D chemical transport model, J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 1028–1041, 2006. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref32">
<label>32</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Thompson, D. W. J. and Solomon, S.: Understanding recent stratospheric climate change, J. Climate, 22, 1934–1943, 2009. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref33">
<label>33</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Ueyama, R. and Wallace, J. M.: To what extent does high-latitude planetary wave breaking drive tropical upwelling in the Brewer-Dobson circulation, J. Atmos. Sci., submitted, 2009. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref34">
<label>34</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple"> Yulaeva, E., Holton, J. R., and Wallace, J. M.: On the cause of the annual cycle in tropical lower-stratospheric temperatures, J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 169–174, 1994. </mixed-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>